Only two weeks left to the 20th anniversary of the military attack on Iraq and the fall of the Baath regime, the US Secretary of Defense and the German Minister of Foreign Affairs traveled to Baghdad and Erbil.

During his trip to Iraq, US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin also visited the Kurdistan Region. During this trip, Austin criticized Iran’s missile and drone attacks on the territory of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.

Austin, who was one of the field commanders during the US military attack on Iraq, met with government officials and military commanders of the region.

Also, German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock, who visited Baghdad, said, “Iranian regime not only oppresses its own people mercilessly and recklessly, but also endangers human lives and the stability of the entire region.”

Mrs. Burbok made this statement in a joint press conference with Iraqi Foreign Minister Fawad Hossein.
He called the Iranian government’s behavior “unacceptable and dangerous”.
20 years ago, America and its allies overthrew Saddam Hussein’s regime with a large-scale attack. The Iraqi regime was accused of possessing weapons of mass destruction.
Now, after 20 years, the visit of the US Secretary of Defense and the German Foreign Minister to Iraq is taking place while the Iranian regime is in complete conflict with the West in relation to the nuclear file, missile programs, its interventions in the Middle East region and its participation in the war in Ukraine. On the other hand, this regime is facing the biggest public uprising in the past 44 years.

Puzzle pieces

The report of the International Atomic Energy Agency regarding the discovery of 85% enriched uranium residues in Iran’s nuclear facilities.

The talks of American officials regarding the closure of the 2015 nuclear agreement revival case with Iran

Leaked information about the allocation of the Pentagon’s military budget for military confrontation with Iran.
US-Saudi military exercise

Improving the level of cooperation between Azerbaijan and Israel

Intensification of Israeli attacks on Iranian positions in Syria as well as attacks on some bases inside Iran.

Leaked information about the simulation of a military attack by Israel on Iran.

On the other hand, the possibility of the fall of the city of Bakhmut in Ukraine is considered a serious defeat for NATO, so it is not far from the mind that a military attack on Iran will turn the equation against Russia.

Also from the internal dimension:

After the poison gas attacks on girls’ schools in Iran and the intensification of popular protests, the Iranian regime is in a tight spot.
Also, the United States and European countries have fielded Reza Pahlavi, the son of the former Shah of Iran, at a high level, and he is mentioned as an alternative after the fall of the Islamic Republic.

If we put all these things together, we will come to the conclusion that, as the American officials have said many times in the past years that “the military option against the Iranian regime is on the table”, is it now the time to put these words into practice?

Another hypothesis is that with these measures, America will force Iran to sit at the negotiating table and refrain from its lofty demands regarding its nuclear programs.