I wrote two years ago and after the killing of Qassem Soleimani .. Iran can not take revenge
Two years ago, after Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Iran, was killed in a US drone strike in Baghdad, I posted a short article on my Facebook account.
“Melting of the snowman of Iran”
Given the events of recent years and the recognition of the regime and the current crises, I have indicated that Iran will not have any serious reaction against the United States:
First: Iran’s internal situation is in the worst economic and political situation.
Second, in order to maintain its survival, Iran has massacred and massacred thousands of people inside Iran in the past few months, because of Qassem Soleimani, it does not endanger its very existence.
Third, in recent years, Israel has killed dozens of Iranian commanders and Revolutionary Guards in Syria, but the Tehran regime has had no reaction.
Fourth: In 1997, when the Taliban assassinated a number of Iranian diplomats in Mazar-e-Sharif, the Iranian regime did not go to war against expectations.
Fifth: US sanctions and pressure on Iran have limited and weakened all of Iran’s capabilities.
Sixth: Iran knows very well that it can not rely on Russia in this equation.
In this article, I also pointed out that the Iranian regime may carry out a series of acts of violence and sporadic attacks in order to use internal news by its allied groups in the region, but these actions will also be limited and controlled.
I also mentioned that the assassination of Qassem Soleimani as the regime’s military hero causes the dissatisfied people inside and other opponents of the regime to intensify their struggles against the regime with more courage, so the regime is brutally repressing the people.
After two years, my predictions came true:
Iran could not take revenge on Qassem Soleimani.
Its allies in the region, especially in Iraq, have carried out several attacks against US forces. Also inside Iran, regime security forces brutally suppressed popular uprisings and discontent.
The severe repression of the demonstrations widened the gap between the people and the regime, which means that it will accelerate the collapse of the regime.